Arizona is a full-fledged electoral battleground in 2020, even though Republicans have carried the state in five straight presidential races. Rep. Katie Hill. Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. Weekly email Podcast Latest Forecast.
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast.
Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast. That’s led to many efforts to reform the Electoral College over the years. The current ratings for the 2020 presidential election from Inside Elections. Check back often or sign up for our email list. Republican Mike Parson became governor in 2018 after Eric Greitens resigned. Hillary Clinton was so sure of her victory in these states that she didn’t even campaign in Wisconsin. One way of looking at how the electoral map has changed in recent years is to evaluate which states are most likely to provide the electoral votes needed to secure 270.
Trump’s path in 2020 is clear: He can afford to lose 36 electoral votes from the 2016 race and still win a second term. Democrats’ ability to put the Senate in play mostly depends on mounting serious challenges in at least some of those states. The ratings are half-science, half-art — but all rigor. See the regular Biden-Trump Polling Map for more granular ratings based on the margin between the two nominees. Our latest ratings have 217 seats in the Democratic column, only one shy of the majority. simplemaps_election.colors = {'R': '#a45a4f','D':'#415490','T':'#D6D6D6'}; simplemaps_election.votes_by_state = {"AL":9,"AK":3,"AZ":11,"AR":6,"CA":55,"CO":9,"CT":7,"DE":3,"FL":29,"GA":16,"HI":4,"ID":4,"IL":20,"IN":11,"IA":6,"KS":6,"KY":8,"LA":8,"ME":2,"ME1":1,"ME2":1,"MD":10,"MA":11,"MI":16,"MN":10,"MS":6,"MO":10,"MT":3,"NE":2,"NE1":1,"NE2":1,"NE3":1,"NV":6,"NH":4,"NJ":14,"NM":5,"NY":29,"NC":15,"ND":3,"OH":18,"OK":7,"OR":7,"PA":20,"RI":4,"SC":9,"SD":3,"TN":11,"TX":38,"UT":6,"VT":3,"VA":13,"WA":12,"WV":5,"WI":10,"WY":3,"DC":3}; Electoral Vote Map is an interactive map to help you follow the 2020 presidential election. From CNN: "President Donald Trump enters the final six weeks of the election season as the underdog as Joe Biden maintains his edge both nationally and in many of the critical battleground states that will determine the outcome and as he completely erased the fundraising advantage that the incumbent had amassed earlier this year.". GOP Rep. Don Young, the dean of the House, faces a rematch from Alyse Galvin. ET And it’s why Democrats are favored to retain their House majority but will face a tougher time taking the Senate next year. The latest from POLITICOâs 2020 Election Forecast: Ratings from Senior Elections Editor Steven Shepard for every national contest, from the 538 Electoral College votes to the 435 House districts â and everything in between. At the same time, Trump’s weaknesses are undeniable. Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election. University of Virginia Center for Politics, Cook Political Report Electoral College Forecast, The Economist's US Presidential Election Forecast, The Economist's US presidential election forecast, Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Election Delayed after Candidate Dies, Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast. The ratings are the product of a rigorous process, analyzing election results, registration trends, the national political environment, public polling and private survey data. Weâll be updating our ratings all the way through Election Day. Mark Hulbert Opinion: This spot-on predictor of who will win the 2020 presidential election is not the stock market or even opinion polls Published: July 11, 2020 at 2:01 p.m. Washington Gov. In 2020, many political analysts think that Wisconsin, where Democrats will hold their national convention in 2020, could prove to be the tipping point state in a close election. Putting Hill’s suburban Los Angeles district in the toss-up category, we now rate 211 districts as leaning toward Democrats, or better. New Hampshire’s Republican governor, Chris Sununu, is running for a third two-year term in a presidential battleground state. The current electoral college ratings for the 2020 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. We do have a polling map; the two should converge as the election nears and forecasters/models place more weight on the polls. President Donald Trump. All rights reserved. Over the last 11 months, Democrats have fortified their new House majority: Candidates have been stockpiling campaign cash, raising previously unheard-of sums to dissuade potential opponents from even trying to beat them. Trump won these three states by less than a combined 80,000 votes, or just .06% of the 137 million votes cast. If Trump were to win Florida again, Democrats would need to recapture three Midwestern states in the Rust Belt — or find substitutes — to win the presidency. For President Trump, the best path for re-election is the exact same one that handed him the presidency in 2016. Leaning is <10%, likely <15%. Phil Scott, a Republican, hasn’t announced whether he’ll also seek a third term. The latest from POLITICO’s 2020 Election Forecast: Ratings from Senior Elections Editor Steven Shepard for every national contest, from the 538 Electoral College votes to … How states move together Our model also simulates what would happen if the race moves, or the polls are biased, in similar amounts in like states. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
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